Giá dầu TG sẽ về 80$ vào cuối năm 2008....Chú Ma tít đâu...vào dịch hộ cái này ra tiếng Việt nào....

DungHaHP · 24/07/2008, 14:36

Giá dầu TG sẽ về 80$ vào cuối năm 2008....Chú Ma tít đâu...vào dịch hộ cái này ra tiếng Việt nào....

Congress Pursues $80 Oil With Trading Limits, Disclosure Rules
By Daniel Whitten

July 23 (Bloomberg) -- Congress may outlaw elements of oil futures trading that lawmakers found distorted demand and contributed to the 69 percent surge in prices in the past year.

U.S. legislators are considering limits on the number of oil contracts an investor can hold and may increase disclosure requirements. Speculators such as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. use the practices to bet on price swings, which may drive up prices, though they have no intention of taking delivery of underlying goods, lawmakers say.

Proposals being debated this week in the Senate would bring prices more in line with demand, proponents say. Excluding the effect of speculation, oil would be around $80 a barrel, 38 percent lower than yesterday''''s price, according to Jesus Reyes Heroles, the chief executive officer of Petroleos Mexicanos. Critics say restrictions may interfere with the functioning of a $4 trillion annual market for crude oil.

``Americans are being taken advantage of not only by OPEC but by speculators right here in our own country,'''''''' says Senator Ted Stevens, an Alaska Republican, referring to the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. ``Historically, this has not been a bad problem. Only recently has speculation reached these unsustainable levels.''''''''

Investor control of contracts to buy crude oil in New York almost doubled in April from five years earlier as prices climbed, according to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Increased energy costs have slowed the economy, reduced consumer buying power and angered voters.

Oil, Futures Decline

Crude oil for August delivery fell $3.09, or 2.4 percent, to settle at $127.95 a barrel yesterday on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The number of outstanding crude oil futures in New York fell to the lowest in 17 months as the Senate began considering legislation to limit speculation in oil markets.

Republicans in the Senate may allow a vote on limits as soon as tomorrow, according to Alaska Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski. The House plans a vote before members start a monthlong break in August. President George W. Bush has signaled he will consider any resulting legislation.

At least 15 proposals are circulating in Congress. Measures proposed by Democratic Senate Leader Harry Reid of Nevada and his Republican counterpart, Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, would expand the CFTC''''s enforcement staff and give it access to data for identifying over-the-counter traders and those making U.S.- based transactions on overseas exchanges.

Other proposals would require that oil traders report their holdings, eliminating large, untraceable purchases by individuals. Capping the number of contracts held by an investor would prevent small groups from pushing prices higher or lower, says Representative Bart Stupak, a Michigan Democrat.

Voter Anger

Lawmakers, who normally avoid major initiatives in an election year, are moving to curb oil trading as higher costs anger voters, says Kevin Madden, the former media strategist for one-time Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney''''s Republican presidential campaign. Congress got a 14 percent job-approval rating in a Gallup survey last week, the lowest in the poll''''s 34-year history, partly because of gasoline prices.

``It''''s one of those issues that is motivating people to vote up or down on their local legislator,'''''''' Madden says. ``Members are looking to go home and give voters some sort of legislative option.''''''''

Goldman Says `Unwarranted''''

Goldman Sachs and oil traders say a poorly designed measure won''''t reduce prices and may remove investment options that serve as a hedge against inflation. Speculators buy contracts to take on price risks that oil producers won''''t want or aren''''t allowed to accept. Oil companies use futures to hedge against price drops, says Craig Pirrong, head of the University of Houston''''s Global Energy Management Institute.

In a June 29 report, Goldman, Wall Street''''s most profitable bank, argued that the idea higher prices are part of a speculative bubble is ``unwarranted.'''''''' The New York-based firm declined to comment through spokesman Michael Duvally.

The price reflects demand from China and India, not manipulation or excessive speculation, says William Adams, a managing director at JKV Global in Chicago, a trader of energy, grains and metals.

``Thinking that you can legislate a position in the market or that you can legislate a direction of the market would be true manipulation,'''''''' Adams says.

Acting CFTC Chairman Walter Lukken says he has seen no evidence of the type of excessive speculation or manipulation lawmakers are targeting.

Trade Groups

Trade groups are pressing Congress for restrictions. Nineteen organizations, including the Air Transport Association and the Consumer Federation of America, wrote Congress June 11 urging ``meaningful reforms.''''''''

Four signers -- the Associated Builders and Contractors, the Teamsters Union, the Air Line Pilots Association and American Trucking Associations -- gave $4 million combined this year to candidates for federal office. The combined amount would be the second-largest among contributors to federal candidates.

``Sophisticated paper speculators who never intend to use the oil are driving up costs for consumers and making huge profits with little to no risk,'''''''' the groups wrote. On June 6, when oil gained $10.75 a barrel, 22 barrels of oil were bought on paper for every barrel consumed, they said.

Reyes Heroles, the CEO of Mexico City-based Pemex, the third-largest importer to the U.S., said in a July 21 interview that he agreed with analysts who have estimated the price of a barrel of oil would be close to $80 excluding the effect of speculation.

Congressional Probes

The House and Senate have held at least two dozen hearings on speculation since early June, taking testimony from airline and trucking executives, exchange officials and regulators, and conducted at least three oil-price inquiries.

Chief executive officers of 12 U.S. air carriers including Delta Air Lines Inc.''''s Richard Anderson, AMR Corp.''''s Gerard Arpey and UAL Corp.''''s Glenn Tilton said in a letter to customers on July 9 that ``normal market forces are being dangerously amplified by poorly regulated market speculation.''''''''

Lawmakers point to data from the CFTC, the federal commodities regulator, showing that speculators controlled 71 percent of contracts to buy crude oil on the New York Mercantile Exchange in April, up from 37 percent five years earlier. Oil reached a record $147.27 a barrel on July 11.

McCain''''s `Reckless Speculation''''

At least three Republicans -- Stevens and Maine Senators Susan Collins, and Olympia Snowe -- signed on to proposals backed by Democrats to limit speculation. McConnell has proposed meeting Democratic demands partway by increasing oil-market oversight.

Tony Fratto, a spokesman for Bush, won''''t rule out that the president may sign legislation to curb speculation, while cautioning that Congress should avoid being ``too prescriptive with market regulation.'''''''' Increasing domestic oil production is ``the most important thing we can do'''''''' to signal that supply will rise to meet demand, he says.

Democratic presidential candidate Senator Barack Obama of Illinois on June 22 proposed an increase in government oversight of energy markets, a requirement that oil futures be traded on regulated exchanges, development of rules for overseas markets and federal investigations into any questionable trades.

Republican candidate John McCain, a Senator from Arizona, called June 25 for immediate steps to stop ``reckless speculation'''''''' in oil futures. McCain said he would impose new regulations to assure the integrity of the markets and didn''''t give details.

saolinh80 · 24/07/2008, 14:45

DungHaHP;1 đã viết:

Congress Pursues $80 Oil With Trading Limits, Disclosure Rules
By Daniel Whitten

July 23 (Bloomberg) -- Congress may outlaw elements of oil futures trading that lawmakers found distorted demand and contributed to the 69 percent surge in prices in the past year.

U.S. legislators are considering limits on the number of oil contracts an investor can hold and may increase disclosure requirements. Speculators such as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. use the practices to bet on price swings, which may drive up prices, though they have no intention of taking delivery of underlying goods, lawmakers say.

Proposals being debated this week in the Senate would bring prices more in line with demand, proponents say. Excluding the effect of speculation, oil would be around $80 a barrel, 38 percent lower than yesterday''''''''s price, according to Jesus Reyes Heroles, the chief executive officer of Petroleos Mexicanos. Critics say restrictions may interfere with the functioning of a $4 trillion annual market for crude oil.

``Americans are being taken advantage of not only by OPEC but by speculators right here in our own country,'''''''''''''''' says Senator Ted Stevens, an Alaska Republican, referring to the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. ``Historically, this has not been a bad problem. Only recently has speculation reached these unsustainable levels.''''''''''''''''

Investor control of contracts to buy crude oil in New York almost doubled in April from five years earlier as prices climbed, according to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Increased energy costs have slowed the economy, reduced consumer buying power and angered voters.

Oil, Futures Decline

Crude oil for August delivery fell $3.09, or 2.4 percent, to settle at $127.95 a barrel yesterday on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The number of outstanding crude oil futures in New York fell to the lowest in 17 months as the Senate began considering legislation to limit speculation in oil markets.

Republicans in the Senate may allow a vote on limits as soon as tomorrow, according to Alaska Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski. The House plans a vote before members start a monthlong break in August. President George W. Bush has signaled he will consider any resulting legislation.

At least 15 proposals are circulating in Congress. Measures proposed by Democratic Senate Leader Harry Reid of Nevada and his Republican counterpart, Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, would expand the CFTC''''''''s enforcement staff and give it access to data for identifying over-the-counter traders and those making U.S.- based transactions on overseas exchanges.

Other proposals would require that oil traders report their holdings, eliminating large, untraceable purchases by individuals. Capping the number of contracts held by an investor would prevent small groups from pushing prices higher or lower, says Representative Bart Stupak, a Michigan Democrat.

Voter Anger

Lawmakers, who normally avoid major initiatives in an election year, are moving to curb oil trading as higher costs anger voters, says Kevin Madden, the former media strategist for one-time Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney''''''''s Republican presidential campaign. Congress got a 14 percent job-approval rating in a Gallup survey last week, the lowest in the poll''''''''s 34-year history, partly because of gasoline prices.

``It''''''''s one of those issues that is motivating people to vote up or down on their local legislator,'''''''''''''''' Madden says. ``Members are looking to go home and give voters some sort of legislative option.''''''''''''''''

Goldman Says `Unwarranted''''''''

Goldman Sachs and oil traders say a poorly designed measure won''''''''t reduce prices and may remove investment options that serve as a hedge against inflation. Speculators buy contracts to take on price risks that oil producers won''''''''t want or aren''''''''t allowed to accept. Oil companies use futures to hedge against price drops, says Craig Pirrong, head of the University of Houston''''''''s Global Energy Management Institute.

In a June 29 report, Goldman, Wall Street''''''''s most profitable bank, argued that the idea higher prices are part of a speculative bubble is ``unwarranted.'''''''''''''''' The New York-based firm declined to comment through spokesman Michael Duvally.

The price reflects demand from China and India, not manipulation or excessive speculation, says William Adams, a managing director at JKV Global in Chicago, a trader of energy, grains and metals.

``Thinking that you can legislate a position in the market or that you can legislate a direction of the market would be true manipulation,'''''''''''''''' Adams says.

Acting CFTC Chairman Walter Lukken says he has seen no evidence of the type of excessive speculation or manipulation lawmakers are targeting.

Trade Groups

Trade groups are pressing Congress for restrictions. Nineteen organizations, including the Air Transport Association and the Consumer Federation of America, wrote Congress June 11 urging ``meaningful reforms.''''''''''''''''

Four signers -- the Associated Builders and Contractors, the Teamsters Union, the Air Line Pilots Association and American Trucking Associations -- gave $4 million combined this year to candidates for federal office. The combined amount would be the second-largest among contributors to federal candidates.

``Sophisticated paper speculators who never intend to use the oil are driving up costs for consumers and making huge profits with little to no risk,'''''''''''''''' the groups wrote. On June 6, when oil gained $10.75 a barrel, 22 barrels of oil were bought on paper for every barrel consumed, they said.

Reyes Heroles, the CEO of Mexico City-based Pemex, the third-largest importer to the U.S., said in a July 21 interview that he agreed with analysts who have estimated the price of a barrel of oil would be close to $80 excluding the effect of speculation.

Congressional Probes

The House and Senate have held at least two dozen hearings on speculation since early June, taking testimony from airline and trucking executives, exchange officials and regulators, and conducted at least three oil-price inquiries.

Chief executive officers of 12 U.S. air carriers including Delta Air Lines Inc.''''''''s Richard Anderson, AMR Corp.''''''''s Gerard Arpey and UAL Corp.''''''''s Glenn Tilton said in a letter to customers on July 9 that ``normal market forces are being dangerously amplified by poorly regulated market speculation.''''''''''''''''

Lawmakers point to data from the CFTC, the federal commodities regulator, showing that speculators controlled 71 percent of contracts to buy crude oil on the New York Mercantile Exchange in April, up from 37 percent five years earlier. Oil reached a record $147.27 a barrel on July 11.

McCain''''''''s `Reckless Speculation''''''''

At least three Republicans -- Stevens and Maine Senators Susan Collins, and Olympia Snowe -- signed on to proposals backed by Democrats to limit speculation. McConnell has proposed meeting Democratic demands partway by increasing oil-market oversight.

Tony Fratto, a spokesman for Bush, won''''''''t rule out that the president may sign legislation to curb speculation, while cautioning that Congress should avoid being ``too prescriptive with market regulation.'''''''''''''''' Increasing domestic oil production is ``the most important thing we can do'''''''''''''''' to signal that supply will rise to meet demand, he says.

Democratic presidential candidate Senator Barack Obama of Illinois on June 22 proposed an increase in government oversight of energy markets, a requirement that oil futures be traded on regulated exchanges, development of rules for overseas markets and federal investigations into any questionable trades.

Republican candidate John McCain, a Senator from Arizona, called June 25 for immediate steps to stop ``reckless speculation'''''''''''''''' in oil futures. McCain said he would impose new regulations to assure the integrity of the markets and didn''''''''t give details.
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nhiều bác oách lên ra vẻ hả hê với tin này quá nhỉ
Các bác cứ làm như dầu của mỹ hết đó muốn lên hay xuống tuỳ thích
bọn OPEC nó tuyên bố đắt bán chơi rẻ để đấy rồi đó các bác à
đến lúc đó chưa biết thằng nào chết trước thằng nào

littlecreek76 · 24/07/2008, 14:45

Dịch ra rồi thì mai làm sao mua FL được bà chị ơi ....

Kệ mịa mấy thằng nhà báo, cho nó dịch toét mắt ra, chắc phải hết tuần sau mới có tin này đăng trên báo ... hĩ hĩ....

UpvsDown · 24/07/2008, 14:54

Asian Stocks Advance for Fourth Day as Oil Falls; Sony Gains

By Chua Kong Ho and Ian C. Sayson
Enlarge Image/Details

July 24 (Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks advanced for a fourth day as the dollar''s rebound and declining commodity prices bolstered automakers and consumer-electronics manufacturers.

Sony Corp. gained in Tokyo as the U.S. currency traded near a one-month high, boosting the value of dollar-denominated sales. Honda Motor Co. rose after European carmakers'' results beat estimates. Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd. surged as oil traded near the lowest in seven weeks. Bridgestone Corp., the world''s largest tiremaker by sales, climbed after rubber prices fell.

``We aren''t out of the woods yet but things are not as bad as previously feared,'''' said Jason Chong, who helps manage $1.5 billion as chief investment officer at UOB-OSK Asset Management in Kuala Lumpur. ``A continued decline in oil prices would mean lower inflation and costs going forward and that''s good for companies.''''

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index gained 1.3 percent to 136.68 as of 5:35 p.m. in Tokyo, set for its highest close since June 30. The measure has jumped 5.8 percent this week, heading for its biggest weekly advance since the five days to Aug. 24, when the U.S. cut its discount lending rate. About three stocks rose for each that declined, with eight of the index''s 10 groups advancing.

Japan''s Nikkei 225 Stock Average climbed 2.2 percent to 13,603.31. Most benchmark indexes in Asia advanced. The Philippine Stock Exchange Index jumped 3 percent, the most since Aug. 30, on speculation the nation''s citizens abroad will send more money home. Standard & Poor''s 500 Index futures fell 0.2 percent.

Market Rally

MSCI''s Asian index, which closed at its lowest level since October 2006 last week, has rallied since Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. reported results that topped analyst estimates and oil tumbled 16 percent from a record $147.27 a barrel on July 11.

The S&P 500 rose 0.4 percent in the U.S. yesterday, after oil retreated and earnings reports from AT&T Inc. and Pfizer Inc. eased concern that the profit slump will worsen.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia, the largest Australian provider of home loans, led financial companies higher today after U.S. lawmakers approved a rescue plan for embattled mortgage lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Honda, which gets about 70 percent of its operating profit from North America, added 3.8 percent to 3,840 yen. Toyota added 5.1 percent to 5,120 yen, after saying yesterday preliminary second-quarter sales rose about 2 percent on higher demand in China and other emerging markets.

European automakers Volkswagen AG, PSA Peugeot Citroen and Fiat SpA reported earnings yesterday that beat analysts'' estimates and forecast higher revenue as fuel costs spurred sales of compact cars.

Dollar Effect

The dollar climbed to 107.98 against the yen earlier, the highest since June 26. It was recently little changed. Every 1 yen gain against the dollar reduces Honda''s annual operating profit by 20 billion yen and Toyota''s by 40 billion yen, according to the automakers.

Sony, the maker of the Playstation 3 game machine, gained 3.9 percent to 4,550 yen. Canon Inc., the world''s biggest maker of digital cameras, advanced 3.7 percent to 5,360 yen.

``The stronger dollar shows confidence that the outlook for the U.S. economy is improving, and should make some Asian exports more competitive,'''' said Simon Bonouvrie, who helps manage about $1.6 billion as a portfolio manager at Platypus Asset Management in Sydney.

Cathay Pacific, Hong Kong''s biggest airline, gained 1.3 percent to HK$15.84, extending yesterday''s 6.3 percent surge. China Southern Airlines Co., the nation''s largest carrier, added 7.9 percent to HK$3.70, its biggest two-day advance since November 2006.

Crude Declines

Oil fell 3.1 percent to $124.44 a barrel yesterday, dropping below $125 for the first time in six weeks, after a U.S. government report showed that fuel stockpiles increased. Crude prices are little changed today.

Woodside Petroleum Ltd., Australia''s second-largest oil and gas producer, fell 6.1 percent to A$52.54. Inpex Holdings Inc., the biggest Japanese oil explorer, dropped 4.3 percent to 1.059 million yen.

A measure of energy stocks has declined 6.9 percent this month, the most among the 10 industry groups, as the stronger U.S. dollar limited the appeal of commodities as a hedge against inflation and high prices cut fuel consumption.

Commonwealth Bank added 4 percent to A$46.39. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc., Japan''s biggest bank by market value, advanced 2.2 percent to 1,032 yen.

Annual Decline

A measure of Asian financial companies has soared 8.8 percent this week, set for its biggest weekly gain since August. The surge in financial stocks helped pare the MSCI''s Asian index''s decline this year to 14 percent from 18 percent reached last week. The benchmark gauge has tumbled as the world''s largest banks and securities firms reported more than $467 billion of writedowns and credit losses, and as oil prices soared.

Bridgestone gained 3.5 percent to 1,849 yen, the highest since June 20, while Yokohama Rubber Co., Japan''s second-largest tiremaker, added 3.3 percent to 533 yen after natural rubber futures in Tokyo dropped to the lowest in seven weeks. JSR Corp., a maker of synthetic rubber, gained 7.5 percent to 2,060 yen, after saying profit increased on higher product prices.

Newcrest Mining Ltd., Australia''s largest gold mining company, slumped 5.5 percent to A$29.40, after saying fourth- quarter bullion output fell due to a natural gas shortage. BHP Billiton Ltd., the world''s largest mining company, dropped 2.9 percent to A$37.55. Gold fell yesterday the most in six weeks.

To contact the reporters for this story: Chua Kong Ho in Shanghai at kchua6@bloomberg.net; Ian C. Sayson in Manila at isayson@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: July 24, 2008 04:44 EDT

ramboo · 24/07/2008, 14:58

Láo

saolinh80;1 đã viết:

nhiều bác oách lên ra vẻ hả hê với tin này quá nhỉ
Các bác cứ làm như dầu của mỹ hết đó muốn lên hay xuống tuỳ thích
bọn OPEC nó tuyên bố đắt bán chơi rẻ để đấy rồi đó các bác à
đến lúc đó chưa biết thằng nào chết trước thằng nào
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anhtumlm · 24/07/2008, 14:59

tưởng về 800$.....

khunglongmax · 24/07/2008, 15:03

thôi để em dịch giúp, free luôn

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bignob · 24/07/2008, 15:04

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