bảng đánh giá ngân hàng việt nam của FITCH

Discussion in 'Thị trường chứng khoán' started by chungkhoan88, Feb 28, 2009.

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  1. chungkhoan88

    chungkhoan88 Thành viên rất tích cực

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    Fitch considers the 15% stress test as its ?~base casê?T, given already existing
    weaknesses within the Vietnam banks?T loan books (as indicated by the generally
    high level of classified or impaired loans under IFRS for those banks that have
    reported such data, see Annex) and the very challenging economic environment.
    The agency notes that it is possible the smaller private banks of ACB and
    Sacombank would probably have had significantly better loan quality than the
    statê?owned banks (see Annex for comments on loans classifications under VAS and
    IFRS). Nevertheless, with these banks having grown their loan books particularly
    fast in recent years they are probably more exposed to a general economic
    slowdown than the statê?owned banks. This is especially so as they are more
    focused on SMEs which, as discussed, are generally viewed by Fitch as higher risk in
    this environment. At the same time, the agency notes the possibility that the
    government may well require the statê?owned banks ensure credit flow to stateowned
    and even some private companies, which may well result in problematic
    loans for them, albeit presumably ultimately largely covered by the state.
    Table 5: Asset Quality Ratios at End?2007
    (%), VAS a Agribank BIDV Vietcombank Vietinbank Sacombank ACB
    NPLs/total loans a 1.90 4.34 3.87 2.63 0.23 0.08
    Reserves/NPLs (C?E) 96.56 50.68 58.58 66.10 219.75 508.19
    Reserves/total loans 1.83 2.20 2.27 1.74 0.50 0.42
    Net NPLs/total loans 0.07 2.14 1.60 0.89 ?0.27 ?0.34
  2. chungkhoan88

    chungkhoan88 Thành viên rất tích cực

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    Annex
    Fitch notes that on a VAS basis, the NPL ratios for the smaller private banks
    (substandard, doubtful and bad) are negligible, although only slightly lower than for
    the larger statê?owned banks (see Tables 6 and 7 below), which is probably mostly
    due to legacy problem loans at the latter. On an IFRS basis, there is no comparable
    data as the smaller banks do not yet report under these standards. For the stateowned
    banks, however, IFRS?based impaired loans (classified as substandard,
    doubtful and bad) are quite substantial (though this varies across banks and has
    generally declined over time ?" see Table 6). Whether the smaller banks would
    report such high impaired loan ratios under IFRS is not clear. Fitch suspects that
    they would not.
    One reason for the larger banks?T high level of IFRS?based impaired loans relates to
    their tendency to grant long?term ?" say fivê?year ?" loans on a onê?year contractual
    basis, without requiring any principal repayment at the end of each year (only
    interest). Under such an arrangement, loans to weak borrowers may well not arise
    as non?performing (as the borrowers are only required to pay interest, not
    principal) under VAS. Such loans, however, are likely to be captured as impaired
    under IFRS, which includes loans to borrowers with weak financials, or who are
    operating in a weak industry. The tendency of the statê?owned banks to provide
    such loans probably reflects their historical practices and their greater focus on
    borrowers that require long?term loans (eg statê?owned companies building
    infrastructure and large property developments).
    The smaller private banks tend to be more small?business focused (and more retailfocused).
    Their business?loan books, therefore, should be made up of more shortterm
    working capital/small expansion?type facilities.
    Table 6: Loan Classifications for SOCBs
    Agribank a BIDV Vietcombank Vietinbank
    (%)
    (IFRS)
    2006
    (VAS/IFRS)
    9M08
    (VAS)
    2007
    (IFRS)
    2007
    (VAS)
    9M08 b
    (VAS)
    2007
    (IFRS)
    2007
    (VAS)
    9M08
    (VAS)
    2007
    A (current) 69.20 78.83 74.21 75.18 91.13 94.66 53.52 97.33 91.51
    B (special mention) 14.28 17.18 21.44 21.22 3.19 2.04 32.05 1.22 5.86
    C (substandard) 12.82 2.59 2.68 2.60 2.27 0.92 8.76 0.54 0.43
    D (doubtful) 2.36 0.66 0.18 0.16 1.15 0.69 3.23 0.14 0.37
    E (bad) 1.34 0.74 1.48 0.85 2.27 1.68 2.45 0.77 1.83
    Total gross loans 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
    NPLs (C?E) 16.52 3.99 4.34 3.60 5.68 3.29 14.44 1.45 2.63
    a Actual 2006 classifications, 2007 not available
    b Unconsolidated.
    Source: Bank data, Fitch
    Table 7: Loan Classifications for JSCBs
    (%) ACB Sacombank
    (VAS)
    9M08
    (VAS)
    2007
    (VAS)
    9M08
    (VAS)
    2007
    A (current) 97.76 99.69 98.67 99.62
    B (special mention) 1.77 0.22 0.85 0.15
    C (substandard) 0.22 0.03 0.21 0.02
    D (doubtful) 0.16 0.02 0.07 0.04
    E (bad) 0.08 0.03 0.21 0.17
    Total gross loans 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
    NPLs (C?E) 0.46 0.08 0.49 0.23
  3. muataochin

    muataochin Thành viên này đang bị tạm khóa Đang bị khóa Not Official

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    Mỗi ACB, VCB và SCB là còn tàm tạm.

    Tuy nhiên vác cái hạng D, D/E đi vay vốn nước ngoài thì bị charge rất đắt do có độ rủi ro cao. Hoá ra NH Nông Nghiệp, Công Thương, Đầu Tư xưa nay nhờ vào thói cửa quyền toàn thằng chột làm vua xứ mù à

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