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U.S. Stock Futures Drop; Alcoa, Citigroup, ConocoPhillips Fall
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By Adria Cimino

April 8 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stock futures fell, indicating the Standard & Poor?Ts 500 Index may drop for a third day, after Alcoa Inc. reported a wider-than-estimated loss. Stocks in Europe and Asia also declined.

Alcoa sank 3.7 percent in Germany as the biggest U.S. aluminum producer capped its first back-to-back quarterly losses since the three months ended in March 1994. Citigroup Inc. and Bank of America Corp. both retreated more than 2 percent. ConocoPhillips, the second-largest U.S. refiner, slipped 1.7 percent after UBS AG cut its recommendation on the shares and crude oil dropped for a fourth day.

Futures on the S&P 500 expiring in June decreased 1 percent to 806.2 as of 9:40 a.m. in London. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures slid 1.2 percent to 7,672 and Nasdaq-100 Index futures fell 0.7 percent to 1,271.25.

?oAlcoâ?Ts results and discourse weren?Tt good, and the company is an advance indicator of the economy,? said Chicuong Dang, an analyst at KBL Richelieu Gestion in Paris, which oversees about $2.2 billion. ?oAs we enter the earnings season, wê?Tre coming back to reality. It?Ts best to remain cautious on stocks.?

U.S. stocks slid yesterday after investors from George Soros to Marc Faber predicted the rebound in equities will falter as the market braces for a seventh straight quarter of dropping earnings.

Profits at S&P 500 companies probably fell 37 percent on average in the first quarter, according to analysts?T estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The stretch of seven straight declines in earnings is the longest since at least the Great Depression, data compiled by S&P and Bloomberg show.

Alcoa Loss

U.S. earnings may drop 31 percent in the second quarter and 18 percent in the next before gaining 76 percent in the last three months of the year, analysts predict. Banks are projected to account for all of the rebound in the final three months of the year. Without financial companies, the gain turns into a 4.5 percent decline, the data show.

Europê?Ts Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index fell 1.1 percent as a report showed the U.K. economy shrank 1.5 percent in the first quarter. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index sank 2.2 percent.

Alcoa, the first company in the Dow average to announce results, slid 3.7 percent to $7.50. The company reported a $497 million net loss in the first quarter. Excluding some items, the loss was 59 cents a share, trailing the average estimate of 14 analysts for a loss of 56 cents.

Family Dollar Stores Inc., the U.S. operator of 6,600 discount stores, and Constellation Brands Inc., the world?Ts largest winemaker, are among companies scheduled to report earnings today.

?~Dead Cat Bouncê?T

The S&P 500 and the Dow average have surged at least 19 percent since reaching the lowest levels in a dozen years on March 9 as banks from Citigroup to JPMorgan Chase & Co. said they made money in the first two months of the year and Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner unveiled plans to rid financial firms of toxic assets.

The rally in global stocks over the past month is a ?odead cat bounce,? as companies report ?oterriblê? earnings this year and the recession persists, Aberdeen Asset Management Plc?Ts Hugh Young said in a Bloomberg Television interview.

Nouriel Roubini, the New York University professor who predicted the economic crisis, told Canadâ?Ts Business News Network yesterday he sees no reason to change his forecast that the U.S. economy will continue to contract through this year.

Citigroup lost 2.2 percent to $2.70, while Bank of America slid 3.1 percent to $7.13.

Liquidating Problem Banks

A congressional panel overseeing the U.S. financial rescue suggested that getting rid of top executives and liquidating problem banks may be a better way to solve the economic crisis.

The Congressional Oversight Panel, in a report released yesterday, also said the Treasury may be relying on too rosy an economic scenario to guide its $700 billion bailout, and declared that the success of the program after six months is ?omixed.? Three of the group?Ts members disagreed with at least some of the findings.

ConocoPhillips slipped 1.7 percent to $39. The company is unlikely to increase oil and natural gas production over the next five years, according to UBS analysts, who downgraded the stock to ?oneutral? from ?obuy.?

Crude oil fell for a fourth day on speculation a government report today will show U.S. supplies increased as the recession curbed fuel demand.

To contact the reporter on this story: Adria Cimino in Paris at acimino1@bloomberg.net.
Last Updated: April 8, 2009 04:48 EDT