Giá dầu thế giới có thể giảm xuống $ 100 thùng

tin tốt bay tới tấp,không biết có phải tại hội nghị g8 các bác đã đồng ý hỗ trợ nhau
tin tốt bà con ta ơi

Oil drops $6 on easing storm worry and dollar
Tuesday July 8, 11:22 am ET
By Ikuko Kao

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil tumbled to below $136 on Tuesday, dropping by about $10 this week, as the dollar gained and concern eased over an Atlantic hurricane.

U.S. light crude fell more than $6 to as low as $135.14 a barrel, the lowest since June 26. It was trading $5.98 lower at $135.39 by 11:14 a.m. EDT.

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London Brent crude was trading $6.05 down at $135.82.

Oil has fallen from a record high of $145.85 hit last week.

Hurricane Bertha became a "major" hurricane on Monday, but none of the computer models used to predict storm tracks indicated it would steer toward the Gulf, the focus of the U.S. oil and gas industry.

With the onset of the Atlantic hurricane season this year, oil traders will be watching for any signs of a storm that could disrupt Gulf oil production and refining operations.

"It seems the tone is easing for now and the hurricane is gone," a broker said.

The broker added the gain in the dollar triggered technical sales due to a lack of fresh news related to oil supply and demand.

The dollar rebounded from earlier losses on Tuesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the U.S. central bank may keep an emergency lending facility open beyond the end of the year for big Wall Street firms.

But analysts said the market focus would shift later this week to U.S. weekly oil statistics and a monthly report from the International Energy Agency (IEA), which will give a fresh look at the demand-supply situation amid a slowing world economy.

"We have U.S. weekly stats tomorrow and the IEA report comes up a day after," said Mike Wittner, the head of oil research with Societe Generale.

"Also in a short term, negative impact may be refining margins. Margins are weaker now and that means oil refiners are not rushing to buy crude oil."

The weekly U.S. oil inventory data, which will include gasoline demand during the long weekend for the July 4 Independence Day holiday, will be released on Wednesday.

A Reuters preliminary poll shows analysts expect a 1.5 million barrel decline in crude stocks, a rise of 200,000 barrels in gasoline supplies and an increase of 1.8 million barrels in distillates.

Refining margins, or profit levels for oil refiners from producing products have weakened recently as prices of fuels such as gasoline and gas oil have not kept up with the sharp rise in crude oil prices.

(Additional reporting by Angela Moon in Seoul; editing by James Jukwey)

Pickens Sticks with $150 Oil; Could Fall to $100
Legendary oil investor Boone Pickens stood by his forecast that oil prices will hover around $150 a barrel now and told CNBC that they may fall to about $100 in two years.

Boone Pickens

"I''ll stick with $150 (per barrel)," Pickens, who is also CEO of BP Capital, told "Squawk Box". "Demand going down, that''s what will bring this thing in better balance".

Asked where he saw the price of oil going in the next two years, he said: "You could get it back down to about 100."

The high oil prices are not determined by speculators and the weak dollar but by supply and demand, Pickens also said.

"It (the price of oil) isn''t driven by speculation," Pickens said, adding that for 85 million barrels of oil production, demand is around 86 million barrels.

raised its oil price forecast to an average $127 a barrel for 2008 from its previous assumption of $105.

Pickens also said the U.S. should have a call -- an option to buy at a certain price -- on oil coming from Iraq.

"What''s happened now is we''ve paid billions and billions of dollars for the Iraqi situation and we''ve lost 4,000 lives," Pickens said. "We should at least come out of there with a call on their oil at market price."

Cutting Imports

Building new wind generation facilities to reduce America''s dependence on foreign oil is essential for the country''s economy, he added, unveiling a plan to boost the use of alternative energy.

The U.S. is currently importing 70 percent of the oil it needs compared with 42 percent in 1990 and 24 percent in the 70s, and this is costing the country $700 billion, Pickens said.

"We are very close to a disaster for the country," he told "Squawk Box." Importing oil "is expensive now, it''s gonna get more expensive," he added.

Asked whether drilling for oil should be allowed everywhere, Pickens answered "I say yeah, let''s go ahead and do it."

The Department of Energy estimated that 20 percent of America''s energy needs can be covered by wind energy, but Pickens, who already invested in the field, says it can cover as much as 40 or even 60 percent.

There is a "perfect spot" in the interior of the country, a corridor stretching from West Texas to the Canadian border, for wind turbines, said Pickens, who dubbed America "the Saudi Arabia of wind."
â 2008 CNBC.com

http://www.cnbc.com/id/25564736

Hô hào vừa thôi, giá dầu lại lên 135 rồi kìa, nhưng được cái mấy thằng chỉ số CK của Mỹ lại đang xanh hết kìa

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Iran: G8 to Blame for High Oil Price

By Reuters | 09 Jul 2008 | 07:30 AM ET


Iran''s OPEC governor said on Wednesday the oil market was saturated and blamed policies of the Group of Eight (G8) rich countries for a price surge, the state broadcaster reported on its website.

Oil prices hit a record highs last week above $145 a barrel, although they have since slipped around $10.

This prompted G8 states at a meeting in Japan to call for more output.

Iran and other OPEC states have regularly said there is no shortage of crude and instead have blamed other factors, such as tensions in the Middle East.

"He emphasized again that the oil market is saturated," the website reported, citing Iran''s OPEC governor, Mohammad Ali Khatibi.


"Currently, OPEC supplies about 1.5 million barrels per day more than the market needs," he was quoted as saying.

Khatibi said G8 countries were pursuing contradictory policies, such as supporting sanctions on Iran which analysts say has deterred foreign investment in its oil industry, while urging oil producers to increase production.

"The G8 is itself the main reason behind the high price of oil in the world, and therefore instability in the crude market," he said.

G8 states include four of the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council -- the United States, Russia, France and Britain -- which have backed limited sanctions on Iran over its nuclear program.

China is the fifth permanent council member, who also backed sanctions, but is not a member of the G8.
Copyright 2008 Reuters. Click for restrictions.