Lạm phát tại China cao nhất trong 11 năm qua. WB hạ dự báo tăng trưởng của China còn 9.6%.

Chủ đề trong 'Thị trường chứng khoán' bởi MartinStock, 18/02/2008.

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  1. MartinStock

    MartinStock Thành viên rất tích cực

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    Lạm phát tại China cao nhất trong 11 năm qua. WB hạ dự báo tăng trưởng của China còn 9.6%.

    China''s Inflation Probably Surged to 11-Year High in January

    By Nipa Piboontanasawat

    Feb. 18 (Bloomberg) -- China''s inflation probably surged to an 11-year high in January, ratcheting up pressure on the government to rein in prices without derailing the world''s fastest-growing major economy.

    Consumer prices rose 7 percent from a year earlier, according to the median estimate of 23 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, after gaining 6.5 percent in December. The statistics bureau will release the figure at 10 a.m. tomorrow.

    The ruling Communist Party''s efforts to tame inflation risk sapping the economy just as the nation recovers from the worst snowstorms in 50 years and the U.S. curbs its appetite for Chinese goods. China''s tools for cooling price gains this year will be bank reserve requirements, price caps and currency gains, not interest-rate increases, according to Wang Qing, chief China economist at Morgan Stanley in Hong Kong.

    ``In balancing between inflation and lower-growth risks, the government now appears to have shifted toward boosting growth,'''' Wang said. ``They wouldn''t tolerate a sharp slowdown that threatens job creation and social stability.''''

    Snowstorms from Jan. 10 in the south of China closed factories, destroyed crops and disrupted food supplies.

    Retail prices of 15 types of vegetable rose 5.2 percent in January from the previous month, according to the National Development and Reform Commission. Pork prices climbed 4.5 percent and beef costs jumped 9.5 percent.

    `Short-Term Shock''

    ``The cold weather has created a short-term shock to food supplies and added to the fundamental inflationary pressures,'''' said Chris Leung, senior economist at DBS Bank Ltd. in Hong Kong. Leung predicts interest rates ``will go up gradually this year.''''

    Inflation surged last year on food and fuel costs. Cash flooding into the economy from export sales threatens to drive broader price gains.

    China has added price controls; quickened the pace of gains by the yuan; ordered banks to curb lending; and pushed the amount of money that banks must set aside as reserves to the highest yet. Interest rates rose six times last year.

    Rate increases risk attracting extra money from abroad into the financial system. Faster appreciation of the yuan helps to staunch the inflows of cash by pushing up export prices and lowering import costs.

    The threats of a U.S. recession and weaker global growth add uncertainty to the outlook for China''s exports, a key driver of the world''s fourth-biggest economy. The U.S. trade deficit narrowed more than economists forecast in December partly because Americans spent less on Chinese goods.

    China''s economy expanded 11.4 percent in 2007, the fastest pace in 13 years.

    The World Bank this month cut its estimate for China''s growth this year to 9.6 percent from the previous 10.8 percent, citing weaker exports and investment. The International Monetary Fund last week reaffirmed its 10 percent estimate.
  2. MartinStock

    MartinStock Thành viên rất tích cực

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    26/02/2007
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    lãi suất interbank hôm nay đã lên đến 30%. VNĐ khan hiếm đến cùng cực. Các tổ chức liên tiếp hạ lệnh thương thuyết với khách hàng lớn exit danh mục repo để rút tiền lại cho mục đích huy động ngắn hạn mua tín phiếu của NHNN. Độ rủi ro của thị trường tăng lên từng giờ
  3. kuro_ai

    kuro_ai Thành viên quen thuộc

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    17/01/2004
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    Tại sao thế mà nó vẫn cứ tăng (xanh hôm nay, đỏ là chỉ số tuần trước) ?
  4. kuro_ai

    kuro_ai Thành viên quen thuộc

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    17/01/2004
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    Hic, ý tôi là chỉ số TQ
  5. Acer2003

    Acer2003 Thành viên này đang bị tạm khóa Đang bị khóa

    Tham gia ngày:
    16/05/2003
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    VNI chỉ bầy đàn phiên 1 thôi, phiên 3 lại xanh rì.
  6. Acer2003

    Acer2003 Thành viên này đang bị tạm khóa Đang bị khóa

    Tham gia ngày:
    16/05/2003
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    0
    cơ hội mua sàn các mã đã qua, chúc mừng bác nào mua sàn được hôm nay
  7. MartinStock

    MartinStock Thành viên rất tích cực

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    bác nào cho lên giúp em với, để em còn củ xả đống repo này
  8. MartinStock

    MartinStock Thành viên rất tích cực

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    ANZ Bank Drops as Smith Says Credit `Bloodbath'' Will Cut Profit

    By Stuart Kelly

    Feb. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. fell to a 2 1/2-year low in Sydney trading after Chief Executive Officer Michael Smith said the ``bloodbath'''' in debt markets will erase profit growth this year.

    Provisions including $200 million on derivatives linked to U.S. debt insurer ACA Capital Holdings Inc. will ``offset'''' forecast profit growth of 11.5 percent in the year ending Sept. 30, the Melbourne-based bank said today.

    The upheaval in global debt markets ``is a financial services bloodbath,'''' said Smith, who joined ANZ from HSBC Holdings Plc last year, at a briefing. ``Credit costs are going up, well above underlying earnings growth.''''

    The U.S. subprime mortgage crisis that''s spread through credit markets may lead to $400 billion of write-offs from financial institutions around the world, according to Group of Seven estimates. In Australia, profit margins have narrowed and banks are raising mortgage interest rates faster than changes in the central bank''s benchmark as funding costs rise.

    ANZ slid 4.9 percent to A$22.73 at 12:27 p.m. in Sydney, its lowest since September 2005. The stock''s lost 17 percent this year.

    ``The market wasn''t pricing in the full potential of writedowns,'''' said Angus Gluskie, who helps manage the equivalent of $500 million, including ANZ shares, at White Funds Management in Sydney. ``ANZ is being cautious given the times in which we are living, and doesn''t want to make the mistake of the U.S. investment banks which damaged their credibility by underestimating writedowns.''''

    Debt Ratings

    The bank said a ``substantial'''' portion of the $200 million provision may be written back in the future. ANZ spokesman Paul Edwards confirmed the insurer as New York-based ACA, which had its rating sliced 12 levels to CCC by Standard & Poor''s in December, casting doubt on more than $75 billion of debt the company guarantees, including $69 billion of securities such as collateralized debt obligations.

    The bank was expected to post a full-year net profit of A$4.34 billion, 3.8 percent higher than last year, according to 15 analysts compiled by Bloomberg before today''s announcement.

    ANZ will also make a A$51 million ($46 million) provision for the ``failure of a resources client,'''' and a A$90 million charge resulting from a credit rating downgrade of a commercial property customer. It didn''t identify either company.

    Commonwealth Bank of Australia, the nation''s biggest mortgage lender, last week posted the slowest profit growth in more than three years as provisions for bad debts jumped 71 percent and its bad-loan ratio increased.

    Credit Costs

    Growth in lending and deposits in the first four months of fiscal 2008 at ANZ ``have been overshadowed by higher credit costs on commercial lending,'''' Smith said in today''s statement. ``The turmoil in global financial markets has impacted a small number of customers and counterparties which is likely to result in higher credit costs.''''

    Australian banks have an estimated A$5.5 billion of investments linked to companies troubled by the global debt crisis, the Sydney Morning Herald reported on Feb. 15, citing brokerages including UBS AG.

    ANZ this year joined rivals in raising interest rates on its variable home loans to recoup higher funding costs by more than changes in the central bank''s benchmark. It was the first time in a decade that banks lifted rates without any action from the Reserve bank of Australia.

    In October ANZ reported full-year profit of A$4.18 billion, following an 8 percent increase in costs in the second-half and a 39 percent jump in provisions for bad debts.

    U.S. bond insurers such as ACA may lose $34 billion on securities they guaranteed, Citigroup Global Markets said this month. They are likely to take losses of $32 billion on collateralized debt obligations backed partly by U.S. subprime mortgages, Citigroup said. They also may have an additional $2 billion in impairments on bonds backed by home equity lines of credit. CDOs repackage assets such as mortgage bonds and buyout loans into new securities with varying risk.
  9. tinhthanthep

    tinhthanthep Thành viên rất tích cực

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    19/12/2004
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    chú nào kêu anh Kế in tiền ra hộ anh cái.
  10. MartinStock

    MartinStock Thành viên rất tích cực

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    Nhưng hôm qua, một bản báo cáo vừa công bố lại cho thấy niềm tin của người tiêu dùng Mỹ đã giảm xuống mức thấp nhất trong 16 qua, đồng thời lĩnh vực sản xuất tại khu vực New York đã lần đầu tiên trong gần 3 năm qua co hẹp lại trong tháng 2 này. Thông tin này như một ?ogáo nước lạnh? dội vào thị trường vì sự suy thoái kinh tế luôn đồng nghĩa với việc nhu cầu đối với vàng và các mặt hàng khác giảm xuống.

    http://www.vneconomy.vn/?home=detail&page=category&cat_name=01&id=2935c866bb1b6f

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