SPARTA! Storm is gonna kill you!

Chủ đề trong 'Thị trường chứng khoán' bởi MartinStock, 15/09/2008.

421 người đang online, trong đó có 168 thành viên. 07:39 (UTC+07:00) Bangkok, Hanoi, Jakarta
  1. 0 người đang xem box này (Thành viên: 0, Khách: 0)
Chủ đề này đã có 588 lượt đọc và 8 bài trả lời
  1. MartinStock

    MartinStock Thành viên rất tích cực

    Tham gia ngày:
    26/02/2007
    Đã được thích:
    2
    1 năm về trước, toàn cầu rúng chuyển bởi cú shock thị truờng cho vay cầm cố tại Mỹ.

    Kỷ niệm hơn 1 năm trôi qua sau trận bão này, giờ đến lượt cú shock mới về cuộc suy thoái kinh tế lớn chưa từng có trên quy mô toàn cầu. Một MEGA DOWN TREND mà không ai khác các nưóc đang phát triển sẽ hứng chịu hậu quả nghiêm trọng.

    Oil về dưới 100, điều này khối ngoại đã dự đoán, nhưng họ vẫn bán đều đặn CK và thu tiền mặt về. Tại sao?

    Cơn bão đang đến rất gần mà giờ không exit nhanh thì sẽ ko bao giờ còn cơ hội nữa.

    SPARTA! BACK TO THE SHIP!
  2. MartinStock

    MartinStock Thành viên rất tích cực

    Tham gia ngày:
    26/02/2007
    Đã được thích:
    2
    Dầu sụt giảm mạnh mẽ với nỗi lo của một đợt đại suy thoái toàn cầu, điều mà Alan Greenspan ví von như một trận đại hồng thuỷ trong hàng thập kỉ trở lại đây. Warren Buffet thì cho rằng đây mới chỉ là điểm khởi đầu của một MEGA DOWN TREND. Còn Soros thì bi quan hơn, cho rằng 50 năm mới có một cuộc suy thoái thế này.

    Số phận của toàn thế giới ra sao? Mỹ, Đức, Anh, Nhật đang ở bờ vực.

    Còn Trung Quốc, Việt Nam và các nước châu Á khác, liệu có thu hút được lượng cầu nhập khẩu lớn nữa khi mà nhu cầu của các nước phát triển đang giảm dần.

    Thời gian chỉ còn tính bằng giờ.

    Và vẫn còn cơ hội cho tổ chức cutloss trong lúc bà con còn hưng phấn với sự kiện dầu giảm, tranh đua bán với khoai Tây.

  3. truongsonsin

    truongsonsin Thành viên gắn bó với f319.com

    Tham gia ngày:
    16/11/2005
    Đã được thích:
    47
    Dầu giảm, vàng đang có dấu hiệu tăng trở lại, chính tỏ nền kinh tế TG đang đứng trước nguy cơ suy thoái trầm trọng, vì dầu ko bao giờ là công cụ tích trữ lâu dài!
  4. MartinStock

    MartinStock Thành viên rất tích cực

    Tham gia ngày:
    26/02/2007
    Đã được thích:
    2
    OMAHA, Neb. â?" Billionaire investor Warren Buffett said Friday the economy continues to be in a recession, by his definition, and will continue to be for at least several more months.
    During a live appearance on CNBC, Buffett said ripples of the credit crunch are continuing to cause problems in financial businesses and the economy.

    Earlier this year he said a financial crisis reveals which players have been "swimming naked," because the tide goes out. That picture has worsened along with the crisis.

    "We found out that Wall Street has been kind of a nudist beach," said Buffett, who is chairman and chief executive of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., which is based in Omaha.

    Buffett said activity at businesses Berkshire owns, especially ones related to housing construction such as Shaw carpet and Acme Brick, continued to slow during the summer.

    He''s confident the nation will be doing better five years from now, Buffett said, but the economy could be worse five months from now.

    Buffett said the economy is in a recession because most Americans aren''t doing as well today as before. The technical definition of a recession most economists use is two consecutive quarters of negative growth in the nation''s gross domestic product.

    Regarding the nation''s credit crunch, Buffett said he believes mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are too big to fail, but that doesn''t mean that all the shareholder equity in those companies can''t be wiped out.
  5. voppov

    voppov Thành viên này đang bị tạm khóa Đang bị khóa

    Tham gia ngày:
    03/03/2008
    Đã được thích:
    0
    Chuẩn bị mua vàng đi là vừa.
    Khủng hoảng diện rộng thì vàng là 01
  6. MartinStock

    MartinStock Thành viên rất tích cực

    Tham gia ngày:
    26/02/2007
    Đã được thích:
    2
    And I think there could be worsening economic problems also in 2008-10 in Europe, possibly a stock market crash in Europe. Also, watch out for the world economy sinking in 2008-2010. World economic chaos and economic disaster I think will exist 2008-2010. During this time period expect to see economic chaos and disaster, wars, Muslim terrorist attacks, Sunni-Shiite Muslim war in Iraq and the Middle East, disease epidemics, great earthquakes, great storms and global warming causing sea levels to rise, and possibly asteroids or pieces of a comet may hit earth. This ends with the Armageddon, World War 3, in Nov. 2010. After that, after 2010, hope for the world will come from the Southern Hemisphere.
  7. nam_vbard

    nam_vbard Thành viên rất tích cực

    Tham gia ngày:
    24/07/2005
    Đã được thích:
    19
    Hàng loạt các đại gia tài chính phố Wall đang đứng bên bờ vực phá sản. Kinh tế Mỹ suy thoái kéo theo sự trì trệ và dấu hiệu manh nha khủng hoảng của kinh tế toàn cầu, đặc biệt là các nước đang phát triển mà nguồn lực trông cậy phần lớn vào xuất khẩu. Tạm thời thoát ra khỏi thị trường là chiến thuật khôn ngoan nhất trong giai đoạn này .
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Stocks get pummeled
    Wall Street sees worst day in 7 years, with Dow down 504 points, as financials implode.


    NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Stocks tanked Monday, amid the largest financial crisis in years after Lehman Brothers filed for the biggest bankruptcy in history, Bank of America said it would buy Merrill Lynch and AIG slumped on fears that it can''t raise cash.

    Treasury prices rallied as investors sought the comparative safety of government debt, sending the corresponding yields lower. Oil prices tumbled, falling well below $100 a barrel on slowing global economic growth. The dollar rallied versus the euro and gold prices spiked.

    The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) lost 504 points, or 4.4%. It was the biggest one-day decline for the Dow on a point basis since Sept. 17, 2001, when the market reopened for trading after having been closed in the aftermath of 9/11 terrorist attacks. On a percentage basis, it was the biggest decline since July 19, 2002.

    The Standard & Poor''s 500 (SPX) index lost 4.7%, its worst day since Sept. 17, 2001, when it plunged 4.9%. The S&P 500 also closed at its lowest point since Oct. 27, 2005.

    The Nasdaq composite (COMP) lost 3.6%, its worst single-session percentage decline since March 24, 2003. It left the tech-fueled average at its lowest point since March 17 of this year.

    "It was an ugly day," said James King, president and chief investment officer at National Penn Investors Trust Company. "Lehman''s failure to find a suitor and Merrill deciding to cash in their chips before a similar fate could befall them really stoked the fears of the public."

    AIG exacerbated those fears in the afternoon. And all the bad news isn''t out there yet, King said. "Investor confidence is at the lowest point we''ve seen in a while."

    He said that after the government bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac last week and all the other financial market bad news, this was just too much for investors.

    But it doesn''t mean that the stock market is likely to see these kind of massive selloffs on a regular basis, King said. Nasdaq and S&P futures pointed to a higher open Tuesday, when fair value is taken into account.

    After the close of trade, S&P said it is cutting its debt rating on mortgage lender Washington Mutual (WM, Fortune 500) to junk status, reflecting the ongoing credit market meltdown and WaMu''s exposure to the housing market. WaMu shares fell almost 27% during the session and lost another 11% in extended-hours trading.

    Also after the close, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500) said it will cut 24,600 jobs, or 7.5% of the combined workforce of HP and the recently-purchased EDS. Shares were barely changed in extended-hours trading.

    Stock market meltdown: Global markets tumbled as investors reeled after Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy, Merrill Lynch was forced to sell itself to Bank of America and investors awaited AIG''s restructuring announcement.

    "You have to throw out the history books because there''s really nothing to compare this to," said Jim Dunigan, chief investment officer at PNC Advisors.

    "Any speculation as to what inning we''re in becomes difficult because each step of the way seems to bring another drop," Dunigan said.

    Art Hogan, chief market strategist for Jefferies & Co., said the magnitude of the financial industry fallout is unprecedented, and could only be compared to the Great Depression of the 1930s or the railroad bankruptcies of the 1800s.

    "We''ve never witnessed this before," said Hogan. "There''s no road map for this."

    Dow-component insurer AIG and mortgage lender Washington Mutual are the latest companies to spark investor fear.

    AIG has been scrambling to raise enough cash to fend off ratings agency downgrades and stay afloat.

    N.Y. Gov. David Paterson said in the afternoon that AIG will be allowed to use $20 billion in assets through its subsidiaries to stay afloat, basically providing itself with a bridge loan. AIG has also reportedly asked the Federal Reserve for a roughly $40 billion bridge loan over the weekend.

    In addition, the federal government has asked Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan to lead a $70 billion to $75 billion lending pool for the company, the Wall Street Journal reported. (Full story)

    Shares of AIG (AIG, Fortune 500) slumped 60.8%.

    The developments of the day cemented for investors that the credit crisis is far from over, six months after the near-collapse and government rescue of Bear Stearns.

    "The landscape has changed and a lot of the major players who were are no more, so of course people are panicked," said Stephen Leeb, president at Leeb Capital Management.

    "But it''s not the end of capitalism," he said. "This may usher in something worse than what we''ve seen in terms of the economy, but the companies left standing at the end of this will be OK."

    Merrill Lynch''s buyout was perhaps providing some reassurance to investors, said Dunigan, in that it shows there is still value in the market.

    Losses were also tempered by the Federal Reserve''s decisions to loosen up its lending restrictions. The central bank could end up cutting the fed funds rate, its key overnight bank lending rate, when it meets Tuesday, analysts said. The fed funds rate currently stands at 2.0%.

    Also helping Tuesday: news that a group of 10 banks including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and Barclays had given up to $7 billion each to create a $70 billion lending pool to help smaller institutions.

    Lehman bankruptcy: Lehman Brothers (LEH, Fortune 500) announced it was filing for bankruptcy, after weekend talks aimed at saving the 158-year old firm failed.

    The filing came shortly after midnight Monday, after Bank of America and Barclays pulled out of negotiations to acquire Lehman, which has lost $60 billion in bad real estate bets and the credit market''s collapse.

    Unlike with Bear Stearns back in March, the government was reportedly not willing to help finance a takeover, bailout or restructuring of Lehman Brothers. This reportedly contributed to the reluctance of other firms to strike a deal with the troubled company. (Full story)

    Speaking in the afternoon, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said that he hasn''t ruled out additional government bailouts for the future. He also said that the banking system is sound. (Full story).

    Lehman shares plunged 94%. (Full story)

    Merrill Lynch buyout: After pulling out of the Lehman negotiations, Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) announced that it will buy Merrill Lynch (MER, Fortune 500) for $50 billion in stock. The price values the company at more than $29 a share, a more than 70% premium from Merrill''s closing price on Friday of $17.05.

    The company has posted losses of more than $17 billion over the last four quarters and saw its stock plunge 27% last week.

    Shares had rallied more than 15% during the session Monday before ending little changed. Bank of America tumbled 21%. A variety of other financial shares plunged, including Citigroup (C, Fortune 500), Morgan Stanley (MS, Fortune 500), Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500) and JP Morgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500).

    Market breadth was negative, with losers beating winners by over 18 to 1 on volume of 1.8 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, decliners topped advancers by over six to one on volume of 2.75 billion shares.

    10-bank emergency fund: In a bid to calm the markets, the Federal Reserve announced plans Sunday to loosen its lending restrictions to the banking industry. A consortium of 10 leading domestic and foreign banks, including Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500), Citigroup (C, Fortune 500), Barclays (BCS) and Morgan Stanley (MS, Fortune 500), agreed to create a $70 billion fund to lend to troubled financial firms.

    The Federal Reserve, meeting Tuesday, could cut the fed funds rate, a key short-term interest rate, from the current level of 2%, analysts said.

    Oil: Oil prices plunged as investors continued to bet on a global economic slowdown. Additionally, early reports showed Hurricane Ike didn''t do as much damage to oil rigs and refineries in the Texas Gulf region as expected.

    Oil prices were down $5.47 a barrel to settle at $95.71, the lowest point since Feb. 15. Oil dipped below $100 a barrel on Friday for the first time in five months.

    Other markets: In global trade, European and Asian stocks ended lower. Many major Asian markets, including Tokyo and Hong Kong, were closed for holidays.

    Treasury prices soared as investors poured money into the relatively safe-haven. The rally sent the benchmark 10-year note tumbling to 3.39% from 3.72% late Friday.

    In currency trading, the dollar slipped versus the euro and gained against the yen.

    COMEX gold for December delivery gained $22.50 to $787 an ounce.
  8. MartinStock

    MartinStock Thành viên rất tích cực

    Tham gia ngày:
    26/02/2007
    Đã được thích:
    2
    Crude Oil Drops Below $92 as Lehman Adds to Demand Concern

    By Christian Schmollinger

    Sept. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil tumbled below $92 a barrel, its biggest two-day drop in almost four years, on concern that turmoil on Wall Street may weaken the global economy and reduce demand for fuels and raw materials.
    Oil fell as much as 4.3 percent today after Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., once the fourth-largest U.S. investment bank, yesterday sought bankruptcy protection, sending U.S. stocks to their steepest drop since the September 2001 terrorist attacks. Gold fell for the first day in three.

    ``It''s just total panic,'''' said Jonathan Kornafel, a director for Asia at Hudson Capital Energy in Singapore. ``People are paring down positions thinking this is just a big meltdown. Everyone is saying the world is coming to an end and there will be no more demand for oil.''''

    Crude oil for October delivery fell as much as $4.15, or 4.2 percent, to $91.70 a barrel. It was at $91.90 at 11:36 a.m. Singapore time on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the lowest intraday price since Feb. 11. Oil has declined 4.4 percent this year and dropped 38 percent from the record $147.27 a barrel reached on July 11.

    Gasoline for October delivery fell for a second day, declining as much as 8.20 cents, or 3.2 percent, to $2.4794 a gallon in New York.

    ``Prices were too high because we''re looking at a recession, we''re looking at demand dropping,'''' Peter Beutel, president of energy consultants Cameron Hanover Inc. in Stamford, Connecticut, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. ``Oil is not a safe haven.''''

    Lehman Suspended

    CME Group Inc., the world''s largest futures market, and its Nymex unit, said Lehman ``continues to meet all of its obligations'''' and is operating as normal. Options Clearing Corp., which guarantees all trades in the $1.6 trillion U.S. options market, also said Lehman remains in good standing.

    Lehman Brothers was suspended from energy and commodities trading in London.

    The plunge in oil, cotton and copper led to the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index of 19 commodities erasing its gains for the year. The CRB index fell 3.3 percent to 348.26 yesterday, down 2.9 percent for the year.

    Gold declined as some investors sold the precious metal to raise cash after U.S. stocks tumbled.

    Gold for immediate delivery fell 1 percent to $778.63 an ounce at 9:49 a.m. in Singapore after earlier rising to $788.10 an ounce, the highest in a week. Silver for immediate delivery fell 1.8 percent to $10.93 an ounce.

    Pessimistic Sentiment

    ``We''re seeing extremely pessimistic investor sentiment on the backdrop of the further deterioration of the global economic outlook,'''' Yingxi Yu, a commodity analyst with Barclays Capital in Singapore, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television.

    Brent crude oil for November settlement fell as much as $2.58, or 2.8 percent, to $89.80 a barrel on London''s ICE Futures Europe exchange.

    Prices have dropped 14 straight days, the longest stretch since Brent futures were introduced in 1988.

    Texas oil refiners may need weeks to restore normal operations as utilities struggle to restore power after Hurricane Ike swept through the region.

    Exxon Mobil Corp., the world''s biggest oil company, said its Beaumont, Texas, refinery took the ``most serious hit'''' of its plants, from a wall of water pushed ashore by Ike. Marathon Oil Corp.''s Texas City, Texas, plant is without power and water.

    Production Idled

    A total of 14 Texas and Louisiana refineries, with combined crude-oil processing capacity of 3.57 million barrels a day, are shut because of Ike, the U.S. Energy Department said yesterday.

    The International Energy Agency, an energy adviser to 27 industrialized countries, said it is analyzing the impact of Ike on oil, gas and refinery output and may release emergency stockpiles if called upon. The IEA coordinated the release of crude oil and fuel supplies after Hurricanes Katrina and Rita struck the U.S. Gulf Coast in 2005.

    U.S. crude-oil and fuel inventories probably fell last week because of Ike, a Bloomberg News survey of analysts showed. The Energy Department is scheduled to release its weekly petroleum supply report on Sept. 17.
  9. xstocks

    xstocks Thành viên rất tích cực

    Tham gia ngày:
    26/12/2007
    Đã được thích:
    1
    Đúng đó,vàng là ưu tiên số 1 hơn nữa bán CK bây giờ thì mua được cả cục vàng to,cũng thêm một món đồ để tự vệ khi có kẻ khác bắt nạt

Chia sẻ trang này